Mearsheimer prediction: Will Russia attack European countries that are not Ukraine?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffWeatherRussia / UkraineEurope9moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 86%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète12 juil. 26, 17:43 UTC10 juil. 27, 22:59 UTC
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PolymarketRègles
Prediction from the interview: Prof John Mearsheimer: Russia Will Strike Europe If Two Conditions Are Met
- [link preview]Mearsheimer mentions 2 conditions/criteria. 1.
- Russia does not develop the capability to minimize the effects of the drone strikes. 2.
- Russia does not win militarily on the battlefield.
- Mearsheimer did not make a timeline but it sounds on his prediction like this will be next step for the Russians so I think 1 year is a generous amount of time to give the prediction.
- The question resolves to "Yes" if both criteria is fulfilled and Russia does attack European targets outside of Ukraine and Russia.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Mearsheimer prediction: Will Russia attack European countries that are not Ukraine? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 86% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Mearsheimer prediction: Will Russia attack European countries that are not Ukraine? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Mearsheimer prediction: Will Russia attack European countries that are not Ukraine? doit être résolu le 10 juillet 2027.
- Comment Mearsheimer prediction: Will Russia attack European countries that are not Ukraine? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Prediction from the interview: Prof John Mearsheimer: Russia Will Strike Europe If Two Conditions Are Met