Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?
PolitiqueCommoditiesWeatherGéopolitique3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleIngria 34%En tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète17 oct. 25, 10:23 UTC30 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- An option resolves to YES if, for that region, all three of the following occur on or before 31 December 2039:
- A formal independence referendum is held.
- Defined as a formal vote organized in-person or online by a recognized local authority, an established exile government, or a clearly significant grassroots movement.
- The referendum must pose the explicit question of secession and full sovereignty from the Russian Federation.
- A majority of valid votes cast must be “Yes.”
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Ingria à 34% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040? doit être résolu le 30 décembre 2029.
- Comment Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria