PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 5%
Qualite du marche
71 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2 €
Liquidité
13,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
5.1% / 5.2%
Spread
2.0%
Spread serréVariation 7j
-0.1%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
12 janv. 26, 22:5831 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
Yes5%
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
6mo
4%
96%
24 • Faible qualitéSpread largeFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total477,1 €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.