Le Québec tiendra-t-il un référendum sur l'indépendance du Canada avant la fin 2029 ?
RégulationPolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionEurope3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 92.2%
Prévisionnistes
42
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard5 avr. 23, 05:30 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
The Canadian province of Quebec has held two referenda on independence, one in 1980 which failed with 59.6% voting no, and one in 1995 which failed by a razor-thin margin of 0.6%.
- Canada enacted the Clarity Act in 1999 in response to the ambiguous wording of past referenda.
- The act grants the House of Commons the power to decide if an independence referendum question is worded clearly enough to proceed to a vote, among other stipulations.
- Will Quebec hold another referendum on independence before the end of this decade?
