Manifold thinks the Iranian regime is in a stronger position on the anniversary of the start of Operation Epic Fury
Moyen-OrientGéopolitique4moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleStronger 50.3%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète8 avr. 26, 01:46 UTC1 mars 27, 02:43 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PolymarketIf Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf the US strikes Iran by June 30th, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Iranian regime be overthrown?
Manifold MarketsWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
LimitlessRègles
On February 28th 2027 I'll create a poll asking "Is the Islamic regime of Iran in a stronger or weaker position than before Operation Epic Fury started?".
- Possible answers will be "stronger", "the named outcome" and "weaker".
- The poll will run for a week and this market will resolve to the poll's answer.
- If there is a tie I'll pass the tiebreaker.
