Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBudget law is passed before deadline (end of March) 100%En tête parmi 16 options
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+8.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète1 déc. 25, 17:3531 déc. 26, 23:59
Tendances
100%
0%
0%
0%
Règles
Update 2026-04-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): When counting parties, alliances and parties will both be included in the full list (not just standalone parties).
- Update 2026-07-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Questions apply to the current elections, even if the final outcome is known after 2026 ends.
Marchés ouverts
Middle East
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-1.8pt66%
- October 31-8.5pt41%
- September 30-3.0pt26%
+17 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 15,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 351 k €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 31-3.0pt8%
- November 30-2.0pt6%
- October 31-1.0pt4%
+6 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jul 1, 2027+2.0pt47%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2027-4.0pt24%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-5.0pt36.1%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt22.7%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt11.3%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22+1.1pt98%
- August 2595%
- August 31-1.0pt86%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by which date?
- August 310%
- August 150%
- Volume total
- 19,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 101,7 k €
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Al-Riyadh vs Al Nassr
- Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will Iran target a Arab country on?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Israeli Politics 2026 Prop Bets [add your predictions] ?
- Manifold Markets cote Budget law is passed before deadline (end of March) à 100% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand Israeli Politics 2026 Prop Bets [add your predictions] sera-t-il résolu ?
- Israeli Politics 2026 Prop Bets [add your predictions] doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Israeli Politics 2026 Prop Bets [add your predictions] est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Update 2026-04-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): When counting parties, alliances and parties will both be included in the full list (not just standalone parties).