Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 09:52 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.6%
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35
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard15 nov. 22, 18:45 UTC1 janv. 00, 05:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Is Earth flat?
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PolymarketRègles
Resolves once I have the opportunity to view the Earth from space and can confirm the answer directly with my own eyes.
- I'll require that we be in orbit or otherwise going "around" the Earth so that I can confirm it's actually a ball and not just a circle.
- Upper atmosphere or a brief suborbital trajectory is not conclusive.
- I need to be able to see the continents changing as my perspective changes.
- I'll do my best to ensure that I'm looking through a real window and it couldn't secretly be a TV screen.