Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleUS or Israel attacks Pickaxe Mountain before Dec 15, 2026 40.8%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+2.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète21 oct. 26, 17:13 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market is an independent multiple-choice market.
- Each option resolves independently to YES, NO, or N/A based on credible reporting from major news agencies (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg), official military/government statements, or verified satellite imagery analysis from established nonpartisan monitoring organizations (e.g., CSIS, ISIS).
- Any user may add new answers.
- For each listed option, the criteria are defined as follows:
- the named outcome:
