If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030
GéopolitiqueOne-OffChina4a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 57.7%
Prévisionnistes
94
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète9 avr. 23, 08:12 UTC31 déc. 30, 12:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030
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PolymarketRègles
Resolves Yes if US directly uses it's military force against China
- Resolves No otherwise
- Resolves N/A if by close date China has not invaded Taiwan
- "Invasion" is any attempt to establish a ground presence on the island of Taiwan with military force.
- If China attempted a landing on Taiwan but was entirely thwarted by a US attack this would still resolve Yes
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 58% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030 sera-t-il résolu ?
- If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2030.
- Comment If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves Yes if US directly uses it's military force against China