When the PRC invades Taiwan will they preemptively attack US, British, Japanese, Kiwi, and/or Australian military/intelligence assets in the region?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffChine4a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 58.8%
Prévisionnistes
54
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard8 août 22, 01:08 UTC15 déc. 30, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Market will remain open until the PLA invasion has commenced and will resolve YES if the PLA strikes Taiwan's allies preemptively.
- Resolves NO if the Allies strike PLA targets before being hit themselves or if a declaration of war has been formally issued by the government of any party on either side.
- So if the PLA declares war on the Allies and then strikes first it would resolve NO.
- Only preemptive, unannounced precision strikes against high value assets will resolve YES.
