Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
> $1 trillion 40.8%En tête parmi 9 options
> $1 trillion 40.8%Prévisionnistes
32
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète11 févr. 25, 18:38 UTC22 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Conditional on Trump being elected president in 2024, will a Republican also be elected in 2028?
Manifold MarketsConditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will the Supreme Court allow him to seek a third term in 2028?
Manifold MarketsConditional on Trump running for a third term, will he win?
Manifold MarketsConditional on Trump getting elected, how will the US democracy index have changed by the end of his term.
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in 2026 related to AI?
Manifold MarketsWho invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the price range that encompasses the final purchase price IF the United States successfully purchases Greenland during Trump's presidency.
- The price must be officially announced and confirmed by both governments.
- Prices denominated in USD.
- Purchase prices on the limit of two price bands count toward the lower band.
- (For example, a price of $50 billion would count towards the $10-50 billion option.)
