What will happen in 2026 related to AI?
ÉconomieGéopolitiqueOne-OffSpaceCorporate ActionsChessSportsTechIA5moManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleSam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year. 95.4%En tête parmi 95 options
Prévisionnistes
263
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
19 déc. 25, 17:4831 déc. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year.95%
Tendance du volume
$468 juil.13j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
What will happen to OpenAI by 1st January 2029
42,2 €It IPOs at an IPO Price that gives a $1trillion or higher valuation: 60.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
244,9 €No [Anthropic does not IPO in 2026]: 31.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSCombined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX
44,4 €Under $3T: 1.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
0 €SpaceX: 97%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
4,1 k €SpaceX: 86%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
5,6 k €Before May 1, 2027: 44%
KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
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Please add questions for what will happen in 2026 related to AI! I've added some clarifications below.
- If there is ambiguity I will resolve to my best judgement.
- Clarifications
- "SSI will release a product": It should be generally available in 2026; i.e. no waitlist.
- Should be an AI product; I’m not counting hats, clothing, etc.
- "X will outperform the S&P": As measured at the end of the year.