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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Économie
  3. What will happen in 2026 related to AI?
Manifold Markets

What will happen in 2026 related to AI?

ÉconomieGéopolitiqueOne-OffSpaceCorporate ActionsChessSportsTechIA6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSans KYC
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Manifold Markets
Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year. 72.8%
En tête parmi 95 options
Prévisionnistes

246

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 heures

Obsolète
19 déc. 25, 17:4831 déc. 26, 23:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year.73%

Règles

Please add questions for what will happen in 2026 related to AI! I've added some clarifications below.

Manifold Markets
  • If there is ambiguity I will resolve to my best judgement.
  • Clarifications
  • "SSI will release a product": It should be generally available in 2026; i.e. no waitlist.
  • Should be an AI product; I’m not counting hats, clothing, etc.
  • "X will outperform the S&P": As measured at the end of the year.

Marchés Associés

Manifold Markets

OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

146,8 €
≥$0.6T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Combined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX

90,8 €
Under $3T: 1.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

86,7 €
SpaceX: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

0 €
SpaceX: 87%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
SpaceX IPO: Who will be on-stage at the Bell Ceremony?

SpaceX IPO: Who will be on-stage at the Bell Ceremony?

49,9 k €
Bret Johnsen: 97%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion, on June 12th, the IPO date of Spacex?

6,2 k €
Oui: 79%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,725.86+1.68%SolanaSOL$65.02+0.78%EthereumETH$1,655.01+0.92%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+0.72%BNBBNB$597.89+1.55%XRPXRP$1.12-0.18%

Actualités Associées

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsAnthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraph

Règles

Please add questions for what will happen in 2026 related to AI! I've added some clarifications below.

Manifold Markets
  • If there is ambiguity I will resolve to my best judgement.
  • Clarifications
  • "SSI will release a product": It should be generally available in 2026; i.e. no waitlist.
  • Should be an AI product; I’m not counting hats, clothing, etc.
  • "X will outperform the S&P": As measured at the end of the year.