Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 61.5%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète20 juil. 26, 18:26 UTC20 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump declare a national emergency related to AI?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare a national emergency related to elections before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare a national emergency?
KalshiWill Trump declare a national emergency by year-end?
PredictItWill Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare an election emergency?
KalshiRègles
List of national emergencies in the United States - Wikipedia
- This market resolves NO if it has not happened and Trump leaves office.
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
Marchés ouverts
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump declare a national emergency related to AI? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 62% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump declare a national emergency related to AI? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump declare a national emergency related to AI? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Trump declare a national emergency related to AI? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : List of national emergencies in the United States - Wikipedia