Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms?
PolitiqueOne-OffDivertissementUS PoliticsÉlectionLatin America1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.4%
Prévisionnistes
144
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète19 août 26, 15:17 UTC2 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump declare a national emergency by year-end?
PredictItWill Trump declare a national emergency?
KalshiWill the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare an election emergency?
KalshiWill Trump declare an election emergency?
LimitlessWill Trump declare a national emergency related to elections before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Shadow strategist Bannon seems to believe so.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Donald Trump, in his capacity as President of the United States, officially declares a new national emergency under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. 1601 et seq.) on or before November 3, 2026 (11:59 PM EST).
- Source of Truth: The declaration must be officially published as a Presidential Proclamation or Executive Order on the Federal Register (federalregister.gov) or the official White House website (whitehouse.gov).
- Exclusions: This market requires a newly declared national emergency.
- The continuation, extension, or modification of existing national emergencies (such as the January 2025 emergency regarding energy and critical minerals) will not qualify.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 72% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms? doit être résolu le 2 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Shadow strategist Bannon seems to believe so.