Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms?
PolitiqueQuarterlyUS PoliticsWeather1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 76%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète29 août 26, 20:36 UTC2 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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PolymarketRègles
The water cuts a
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on or before November 3, 2026 (the date of the U.S. midterm elections), both of the following conditions are met:
- Inoperable Reservoirs: The water level of either Lake Powell drops below 3,490 feet (the minimum power pool elevation for Glen Canyon Dam) or Lake Mead drops below 950 feet (the minimum power pool elevation for Hoover Dam), as recorded by the official U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (USBR).
- Federal Emergency Declaration: President Donald Trump (or the Trump administration) formally issues a federal declaration of emergency (under the Stafford Act, National Emergencies Act, or another applicable federal statute) specifically citing the critical water levels, drought, or dam/power inoperability along the Colorado River basin.
- If both of these conditions are not officially met on or before November 3, 2026, the market will resolve to NO.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 76% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms? doit être résolu le 2 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The water cuts a