KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Apr 1, 2027 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Apr 1, 2027 57%En tête parmi 5 options
Before Apr 1, 2027 57%Qualité du marché
41 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
288,5 €
Intérêt ouvert
2,7 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
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Before Apr 1, 2027Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
28 août 26, 16:00 UTC1 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Before Oct 1, 2026Perdu
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Apr 1, 2027
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump declare a national emergency by year-end?
PredictItWill Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare a national emergency related to elections before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare a national emergency related to AI?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare a national emergency related to AI?
Manifold MarketsScrewworm National Emergency declared by which date?
PolymarketRègles
If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary. Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included. Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify. The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.