KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2027 42.9%En tête parmi 4 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
43 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
480,4 €
Liquidité
969,3 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
28 août 26, 16:001 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Règles
If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump declare a national emergency? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2027 à 43% au 4 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump declare a national emergency? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump declare a national emergency? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Trump declare a national emergency? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Will Trump declare a national emergency? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur PredictIt.