By 2050, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?
One-OffScienceManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète21 févr. 24, 08:25 UTC1 janv. 51, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
YES Resolution:
- This market resolves to YES if, by December 31, 2050, humanity has reached Type I status on the Kardashev scale, signifying the ability to use and store all of the energy available on planet Earth.
- Reaching the Engery combustion of 5 * 10^20 Wh per year (current approximation of the amount of energy to be Type I civilization)
- NO Resolution:
- If by the end of 2050, there is no consensus or evidence that humanity has achieved Type I status on the Kardashev scale, the market will resolve to NO.
- Verification:
