KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 80%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
3,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
15.0% / 20.0%
Écart
5.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
20 juil. 26, 22:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
If a binding U.S. federal measure takes effect that generally prohibits or requires federal authorization for private U.S. persons or companies to access, host, or deploy Kimi K3 or a successor Kimi model after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a binding U.S. federal measure takes effect that generally prohibits or requires federal authorization for private U.S. persons or companies to access, host, or deploy Kimi K3 or a successor Kimi model after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.