Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 05:34 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleBan use of open Chinese models by government applications in production 70.9%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète8 juil. 26, 14:43 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
A ban or restriction has to come from the federal government (any branch) and has to actually go into effect.
- If a ban is announced but the effective date is in 2028, I'll extend the close date to it's effective date.
- I'll buffer to allow for legal challenges within 1 month of effective date (eg: if ban goes into effect Jan 1, but court blocks on Jan 5, I won't count that as a ban).
- I will not bet so I can subjectively decide if narrow exceptions count.
- For the types of exceptions I can imagine:
- company size limits still count: "companies over X employees can't use Y model" is a ban.
