KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 72%
Qualité du marché
56 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
132,4 €
Liquidité
2,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
27.0% / 31.0%
Écart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
27 juil. 26, 20:30 UTC1 nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will Kash Patel say during the Senate FBI hearing?
KalshiKash Patel out by which date?
PolymarketKash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Kash Patel leave office in 2026?
PredictItKash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Kash Patel has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Russia before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The GuardianFox NewsSemaforThe InformationCNBCthe Associated PressThe Wall Street JournalCNNPoliticoMSNBCThe Washington PostReutersThe New York Times
- The following do NOT constitute a visit:
- Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period
- For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one.
- Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit.
- Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.
Marchés ouverts
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-3.0pt77%
- New People (NL)+2.7pt19%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.3pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 395,3 k €
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 202713%
- December7%
- July0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 21,1 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–339-2.0pt43.6%
- 340–354-0.5pt24.8%
- 310–324+3.8pt17.8%
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms+4.7pt9%
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- Save the Children7%
+28 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- December 31,70%
- November 30,+0.5pt67%
- October 31,+0.5pt65%
+15 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)+1.5pt90.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.3pt4.9%
- New People (NL)-0.1pt3.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Will Russia capture Lyman by which date?
- Will Russia capture Orikhiv by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Kash Patel visit Russia before November? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 72% au 15 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Kash Patel visit Russia before November? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Kash Patel visit Russia before November? doit être résolu le 1 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will Kash Patel visit Russia before November? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Kash Patel has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Russia before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.