KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 1, 2029 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 1, 2029 83.5%En tête parmi 11 options
Before Jan 1, 2029 83.5%Qualité du marché
54 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
373,9 €
Intérêt ouvert
142,2 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
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Before Jan 1, 2029Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 28 minutes
28 sept. 26, 18:06 UTC1 oct. 27, 03:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Before Oct 1, 2026Perdu
Before Sep 1, 2026Perdu
Before Nov 1, 2026Perdu
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 1, 2029
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Kash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsKash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsKash Patel out by...? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsKash Patel departure announced?
KalshiWill Kash Patel visit Russia?
KalshiWill at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Kash PatelThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersFederal Bureau of InvestigationCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Kash Patel must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Kash Patel out by...? · December 31 20%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Kash Patel out by...? · September 30 50%
