PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 23%+1.0ptEn tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
62 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
312,6 €
Liquidité
29,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
143
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
23 févr. 26, 18:18 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Kash Patel visit Russia before November?
KalshiKash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich people on the Kash Patel list of "Members of the Executive Branch Deep State" from his book will be investigated?
Manifold MarketsWill Kash Patel leave office in 2026?
PredictItWhat will Kash Patel say during the Senate FBI hearing?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Kash Patel out by...? · August 31 50%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Kash Patel out as FBI Director? · Before Dec 1, 2026 11%
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+9.5pt81.2%
- Yes-9.5pt18.8%
- Volume total
- 15 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1 M €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+2.0pt49.5%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt33.7%
- R-House, R-Senate-2.0pt14.8%
+1 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
- Gavin Newsom12%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 188,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,8 k €
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-4.0pt62%
- Nithya Raman+4.0pt38%
- Volume total
- 27,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 643,7 k €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt35.7%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt27.6%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.2%
+38 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.2pt19%
- Jon Ossoff+0.8pt17%
- Gavin Newsom+0.1pt13%
+48 résultats de plus
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Texas Senate winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Kash Patel out by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote December 31 à 23% au 15 septembre 2026.
- Quand Kash Patel out by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Kash Patel out by which date? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Kash Patel out by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Où Kash Patel out by which date? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Limitless, Kalshi.