Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDecember 31 19%-0.2ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète1 oct. 26, 00:43 UTC13 janv. 27, 00:42 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
KalshiKash Patel out by which date?
PolymarketKash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich people on the Kash Patel list of "Members of the Executive Branch Deep State" from his book will be investigated?
Manifold MarketsWill Kash Patel leave office by November 4, 2026?
PredictItRègles
This market will resolve identically to this Polymarket market: Kash Patel out by the named outcome?
- Polymarket rules:
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.