KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Above 10 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
Carnet reçu (pas l’heure de cotation de la plateforme): —
Prix enregistré
Above 10 Achat–vente enregistré96%–97%Collecté: Dernière transaction: 96% · Heure de transaction inconnuePrix en pourcentage du versement, avant frais ; ces observations enregistrées ne sont pas des cotations exécutables.En tête parmi 11 options
Above 10 Achat–vente enregistré96%–97%Collecté: Dernière transaction: 96% · Heure de transaction inconnuePrix en pourcentage du versement, avant frais ; ces observations enregistrées ne sont pas des cotations exécutables.Qualité du marché
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,5 k €
Intérêt ouvert
6,5 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
Above 10Écart
—
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 33 minutes
9 oct. 26, 16:00 UTC20 oct. 26, 13:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Above 10
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
Carnet reçu (pas l’heure de cotation de la plateforme): —
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)
KalshiPeak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
KalshiPeak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)
KalshiFree flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
PolymarketOn October 25th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 25 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above 10
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 15
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 20
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 25 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 30
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 35
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 35 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 40
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 45
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 45 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 50
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 75
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 75 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 100
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 100 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.