KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 4 92%+3.0ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Above 4 92%+3.0ptQualité du marché
69 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
23,4 k €
Intérêt ouvert
8,3 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
2 oct. 26, 17:00 UTC13 oct. 26, 13:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)
KalshiOn October 25th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
PolymarketFree flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 6 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:IMF PortWatch
- The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above 4
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 4 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 6 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 8 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 10
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 12
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 12 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 14
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 14 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.