KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 5 95%+5.0ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
69 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
10,6 k €
Liquidité
11,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
11 sept. 26, 17:00 UTC22 sept. 26, 13:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
KalshiOn September 27th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketRègles
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:IMF PortWatch
- The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Marchés ouverts
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 18+2.4pt97%
- September 30+1.7pt97%
- September 11+3.7pt96%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 596,9 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.4pt53.5%
- October 31+2.5pt28.9%
- September 30+1.0pt12.3%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- September 25+2.0pt84%
- September 30-1.5pt83%
- September 18+8.0pt83%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Volume total
- 57,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 110,7 k €
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+0.6pt53.5%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-0.5pt28.7%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt8.9%
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt22%
- October 31-1.0pt14%
- September 30+0.1pt6%
+9 résultats de plus
- Israel closes its airspace by which date?
- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) ?
- Kalshi cote Above 5 à 95% au 15 septembre 2026.
- Quand Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) doit être résolu le 22 septembre 2026.
- Comment Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.