KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Stephen Miran 14%+7.7ptEn tête parmi 12 options
Qualité du marché
60 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
992,1 €
Liquidité
94 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
5.2 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
5 janv. 26, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?
KalshiJerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
KalshiLisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by which date?
PolymarketLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by which date?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
KalshiWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by which date?
PolymarketRègles
If the named outcome is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Library of Congress
- The nomination must be sent by the President and received by the United States Senate.
Marchés ouverts
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 35 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote Stephen Miran à 14% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.