KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before 2040 11%En tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
35 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
394,4 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
18 juin 26, 16:06 UTC31 déc. 31, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which of these franchises will be present at the Universal Studios park Universal United Kingdom at opening?
Manifold MarketsUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiWill Ye visit The United Kingdom this year?
KalshiWill the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext government of the United Kingdom?
KalshiRègles
If the United Kingdom has joined the EU by Jan 1, 2032, or the date that the country will officially join per its accession treaty is Jan 1, 2032, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:EU
- If the United Kingdom has joined the EU by Jan 1, 2035, or the date that the country will officially join per its accession treaty is Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United Kingdom has joined the EU by Jan 1, 2040, or the date that the country will officially join per its accession treaty is Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Geopolitics
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the United Kingdom join the EU? ?
- Kalshi cote Before 2040 à 11% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the United Kingdom join the EU? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the United Kingdom join the EU? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2031.
- Comment Will the United Kingdom join the EU? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the United Kingdom has joined the EU by Jan 1, 2032, or the date that the country will officially join per its accession treaty is Jan 1, 2032, then the market resolves to Yes.