KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 94%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
2,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
7.0% / 11.0%
Écart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
7 avr. 26, 16:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUnited Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026
FutuurOn what dates will Andy Burnham still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Manifold MarketsWill Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?
KalshiWill the next pope visit the United States by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping visit the United States?
LimitlessRègles
If Ye has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of The United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The GuardianFox Newsofficial social media accounts of Ye or their official representativesSemaforThe InformationCNBCthe Associated PressThe Wall Street JournalCNNPoliticoMSNBCThe Washington PostReutersofficial government sources of the UKThe New York Times
- Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits.
- For cities, official municipal boundaries apply.
- For states/provinces, official boundaries apply.
- For countries, internationally recognized borders apply.
- International airports are considered within their host jurisdiction.
Marchés ouverts
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 98 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 80 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4 M €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Ye visit The United Kingdom this year? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 94% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Ye visit The United Kingdom this year? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Ye visit The United Kingdom this year? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Ye visit The United Kingdom this year? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Ye has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of The United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.