Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleElectoral democracy 79%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète23 oct. 25, 13:55 UTC1 juin 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
0.2%
0.1%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2027?
Manifold MarketsUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiWill the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ye visit The United Kingdom this year?
KalshiNext government of the United Kingdom?
KalshiRègles
Resolves at the classification of the UK according to the Regimes of the World data, up to now published by V-DEM, in 2026.
- Update 2025-10-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve according to the Regimes of the World classification system, which uses the following categories:
- the named outcome
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 135,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7 k €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 325 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
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- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Electoral democracy à 79% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 juin 2027.
- Comment How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves at the classification of the UK according to the Regimes of the World data, up to now published by V-DEM, in 2026.