KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesAucune cotation en direct
Données au 5 nov. 2026, 11:58 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
Before 2029 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before 2029 17%
Before 2029 17%Qualité du marché
31 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
2,7 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
Before 2029Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 46 minutes
En retard16 sept. 26, 17:00 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before 2029
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?
KalshiWill Canada become an EU Associate Member by year-end 2027?
PredictItWill Brittany gain independence from France before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill Catalonia (Catalunya) gain internationally recognized independence before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will gain seats in the next Thuringian state election?
Manifold MarketsWill a nation in Europe which is not currently a full UN member state gain that status by 2035.
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Canada and the European Union sign or formally adopt an agreement establishing Canada as an EU associate member or an equivalent new formal institutional status after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify, unless the new article itself explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of the publication date. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. An equivalent status must be expressly presented by Canada and the EU as the institutional arrangement contemplated by the EU's Canadian associate-membership proposal. Both sides must sign or formally adopt the same agreement. Full EU membership, ratification, and entry into force are not required. Proposals, invitations, statements of intent, negotiations, or action by only one side do not qualify. Existing or sector-specific trade, defence, research, or mobility arrangements alone do not qualify.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before 2029
- If Canada and the European Union sign or formally adopt an agreement establishing Canada as an EU associate member or an equivalent new formal institutional status after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2028
- If Canada and the European Union sign or formally adopt an agreement establishing Canada as an EU associate member or an equivalent new formal institutional status after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...? · June 30, 2027 28%
