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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?
Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?

Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?

1.0% (24h)One-OffRussia / UkraineEurope6mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 19%+1.0%
Qualite du marche

44 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

0,1 €

Liquidité

5,4 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

18.0% / 19.0%

Spread

5.6%

Spread modéré
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes

4 mai 26, 19:301 janv. 27, 4:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes19%

Règles

If the European Union agrees to or announces that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status means any formal EU-approved pre-accession status or arrangement, however described, that allows Ukraine to sit in, attend, observe, or be represented at meetings of EU ministers, EU leaders, or EU institutions without voting rights before Ukraine becomes a full EU Member State.
  • Candidate-country status, accession negotiations, EU-law screening, funding access, or Ukraine’s existing EU Association Agreement shall not qualify unless Ukraine receives new non-voting participation or representation rights in EU ministerial, leaders’, or institutional meetings.
  • An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
  • Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
  • Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.

Marchés Associés

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?

735,3 €
Oui: 8%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (June 15 - June 21)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (June 15 - June 21)

662,6 €
Football / Soccer: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

158,6 €
December 31: 10%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Russian attacks or invades Finland by mid 2026

3,1 k €
Oui: 1.1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Russian attacks or invades Latvia by mid 2026

188 €
Oui: 2.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will the EU disburse any funds under the €90 billion Ukraine Support Loan by 30 June 2026?

8,7 €
Oui: 90.6%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

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Actualités Associées

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Règles

If the European Union agrees to or announces that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status means any formal EU-approved pre-accession status or arrangement, however described, that allows Ukraine to sit in, attend, observe, or be represented at meetings of EU ministers, EU leaders, or EU institutions without voting rights before Ukraine becomes a full EU Member State.
  • Candidate-country status, accession negotiations, EU-law screening, funding access, or Ukraine’s existing EU Association Agreement shall not qualify unless Ukraine receives new non-voting participation or representation rights in EU ministerial, leaders’, or institutional meetings.
  • An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
  • Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
  • Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.