PredictItVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution non vérifiéesRetail prediction exchange
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 96%
Non 96%Méthodologie
Retail prediction exchange
Type de question
-
Volume 24h
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
21 sept. 26, 17:33 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?
KalshiWhen will Canada gain EU associate status?
KalshiCanada becomes EU Associate Member by which date?
PolymarketWill Canada become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada become the 51st US state before Jan 20th, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Canada become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExRègles
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, subsequent to the launch of this market on September 18, 2026, and by the End Date listed below, Canada becomes an Associate Member of the European Union ("EU"), pursuant to the signing or other formal adoption of one or more treaties or other instruments sufficient to effect such accession, with any effective date.
- For purposes of this market, Associate Membership shall encompass any new membership statuses or tiers enshrined in relevant EU treaties or other instruments subsequent to the launch of this market.
- Implementation of such adopted accession is not required for this market to resolve to Yes, nor will any subsequent revocation or cancellation of an otherwise qualifying accession adoption cause this market to resolve to No.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 12/31/2027 11:59 PM (ET)