Probabilité implicite actuelle
Gabriel Attal 100%+8.5ptEn tête parmi 21 options
Qualité du marché
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
979,2 €
Liquidité
99,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
15.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
22
Variation 7j
+1.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
22 avr. 26, 22:25 UTC23 avr. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
100%
100%
100%
100%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next French Presidential Election
Polymarket2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
PolymarketWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon be candidate to the french presidential election in 2027
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2027 french presidential election
Manifold MarketsWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election
Manifold MarketsRègles
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
- Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
