Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 90%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète1 avr. 23, 10:46 UTC31 déc. 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030?
Manifold Marketswill any AI become a citizen of any internationally recognized country before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Brittany gain independence from France before 2030
Manifold MarketsWhen will Canada gain EU associate status?
KalshiWill Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
KalshiWill Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Les critères de résolution ne sont pas encore disponibles pour ce marché. Cette section sera remplie lors des prochains rafraîchissements une fois les règles de la source enregistrées.
Marchés ouverts
EuropePOLYMARKETTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- December 31+1.3pt96%
- September 25+7.0pt88%
- September 23+13.5pt75%
- Volume total
- 385 k €
- Volume 24h
- 181,9 k €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.0pt38.1%
- Édouard Philippe25.8%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon13.4%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 3130%
- October 31+0.5pt16%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Serbia?
- Aleksandar Vučić+2.3pt52.5%
- Ilija Srdanović-1.0pt46.5%
- Vladan Đokić+0.3pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December-5.5pt22%
- October17%
- September 30,7%
- Volume total
- 1,5 M €
KALSHISanchez Izquierdo vs Monteiro
- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo52.4%
- Thiago Monteiro47.6%
- Volume total
- 35,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 34,6 k €
- Next leader out of power before 2027?
- Russia military action against EU country by which date?
- How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
- Greenland deal text released by which date?
- EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by which date?
- Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: SPD # of seats?
- Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
- Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Catalonia (Catalunya) gain internationally recognized independence before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 90% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Catalonia (Catalunya) gain internationally recognized independence before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Catalonia (Catalunya) gain internationally recognized independence before 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.