PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 86.1%
Calidad del mercado
75 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
1,5 mil €
Liquidez
29,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
13.0% / 14.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-2.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
23 jun 26, 4:53 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31 ? [Not Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWhat will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
PolymarketCongress approves Iran deal in 2026?
Polymarket5th Fleet Stranded as result of Iran Deal?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran nuclear deal [Kalshi] resolves the same as US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsReglas
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.