PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: October 31
Resuelto: 8 oct 2026, 6:34
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
October 31
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
—
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 9 oct 2026, 2:36 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
October 31100%
October 31Ganada
August 31Perdida
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.386699° N, 37.105096° E in Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading under the following layers will qualify: - Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain - Assessed Russian Advances