PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 sept 2026, 18:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
December 31 11%Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
12 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,8 mil €
Baja liquidezComentarios
6
Cambio 7d
-0.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado31 ene 26, 0:211 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Ternuvate, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47.8301° N, 36.1268° E) by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Ternuvate will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
Mercados abiertos
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt70%
- New People (NL)-1.0pt24%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt5%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 20,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 221,8 mil €
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt24%
- October 31-2.0pt13%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-0.5pt15%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.3pt1%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Volumen total
- 301,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 44,6 mil €
POLYMARKETWill Russia enter Hannivka by which date?
- December 31+16.9pt98%
- September 30+39.0pt97%
- August 31-5.0pt0%
POLYMARKETWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt39%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.1pt5%
+3 resultados más
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Will Russia capture Sumy by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza December 31 al 11% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by which date??
- Está previsto que Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by which date? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Ternuvate, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47.8301° N, 36.1268° E) by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.