PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
September 30 3%-0.1pt
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
186,4 €
Liquidez
2,1 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
2.3% / 3.2%
Spread
0.9 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-4.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
5 jun 26, 22:27 UTC1 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.048958° N, 37.829063° E in Stavky, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
Mercados abiertos
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 473 mil €
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.6pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.1pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 resultados más
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt7%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA+0.5pt8%
- International Court of Justice-1.0pt6%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–339-0.5pt37.1%
- 340–354+2.0pt24.7%
- 310–324-5.0pt22.7%
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change-1.0pt68.7%
- Decrease+1.5pt28.3%
- Increase-1.3pt3%
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- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
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- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
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- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Russia capture Stavky by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza September 30 al 3% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Russia capture Stavky by which date??
- Está previsto que Will Russia capture Stavky by which date? se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Russia capture Stavky by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.048958° N, 37.829063° E in Stavky, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.