PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No
Resuelto: 1 dic 2023, 7:06
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 100%
Calidad del mercado
15 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 123 días
Desactualizado12 oct 23, 19:3930 nov 23, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any listed major Iranian oil refinery is damaged to the point of inoperability for any length of time due to violent or military action by November 30, 2023 ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The major Iranian oil refineries considered for this market are:
- Abadan Refinery Isfahan Refinery Arak Refinery Bandar Abbas Refinery Tehran Refinery
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and/or Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.