PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 45%-3.5%Líder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado
89 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
12 mil €
Liquidez
171,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
44.0% / 46.0%
Spread
4.5%
Spread moderadoCambio 7d
-5.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
8 jul 26, 18:5331 dic 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
No Return to Normal Traffic in 202645%
Tendencia de volumen
$13.7k8 jul19d de datos26 jul
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KALSHI
KALSHI
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This market will resolve according to the next month for which IMF Portwatch publishes a daily 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- The qualifying month will be the calendar month containing the date associated with the first qualifying data point published by IMF PortWatch.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date of the specified month, and no such value has been published.
- If data is published for December 31, 2026 and a qualifying data point has not been published for any month, this market will resolve to “No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026.” If no data has been published for December 31, 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.