Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
2.0 pts (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffOriente Medio2m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 27 oct 2026, 9:51 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
US · —
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Referencia guardada
US 25%Líder entre 8 opciones
US 25%Calidad del mercado
40 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
9 €
Liquidez
50,9 mil €
Alta liquidezInterés abierto
11,6 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
USSpread
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Comentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-7.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado26 ago 26, 22:17 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
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Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
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- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
Principales tenedores
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Profundidad de mercado · US
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz.
- Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
- For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman.
- Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.