PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: June 30
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
June 30 100%+88.0ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
88,1 mil €
Liquidez
318,5 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+70.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 108 días
Desactualizado26 dic 25, 19:4430 jun 26, 0:00
Tendencias
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Nigerian soil or any official Nigerian embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Nigerian ground territory or any official Nigerian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Nigerian soil is hit by a US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
- Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Nigerian territory or cause damage.
- Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de U.S. strike on Nigeria by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza June 30 al 100% a fecha de 16 de mayo de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve U.S. strike on Nigeria by which date??
- Está previsto que U.S. strike on Nigeria by which date? se resuelva el 30 de junio de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida U.S. strike on Nigeria by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Nigerian soil or any official Nigerian embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.