PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: April 30
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
April 30 100%Líder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
2,4 M €
Liquidez
839,8 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+83.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 129 días
Desactualizado24 mar 26, 20:5830 abr 26, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
April 150%
April 30100%
May 150%
May 310%
100%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an oil tanker or any other ship actively transporting oil between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors.
- Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.