PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoDatos de resolución no verificados: April 30
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Cronología de Probabilidad
April 150%
April 30100%
May 150%
May 310%
April 30Resultado pendiente
April 15Resultado pendiente
May 15Resultado pendiente
May 31Resultado pendiente
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an oil tanker or any other ship actively transporting oil between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors.
- Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.