PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 30 oct 2026, 15:33 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
October 29 · —
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Referencia guardada
October 29 95%Líder entre 31 opciones
October 29 95%Calidad del mercado
28 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
840,4 €
Liquidez
1,1 mil €
Baja liquidezInterés abierto
3,1 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
October 29Spread
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Comentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+45.6 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado30 sept 26, 23:58 UTC1 nov 26, 3:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
October 1Ganada
October 10Ganada
October 11Ganada
October 12Ganada
October 13Ganada
October 16Ganada
October 18Ganada
October 2Ganada
October 20Ganada
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 0,1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · October 29
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Houthis successfully target shipping by which date?
PolymarketFree flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31?
Manifold MarketsWill traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before November 1, 2026? (Shipping) (Oil tankers)?
ForecastExUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a kinetic strike is conducted on, or forceful seizure of control is taken of, a commercial ship within the defined area on the specified date, between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The defined area consists of the Persian Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz, and the Gulf of Oman.
- An incident occurring outside these three bodies of water will not qualify, including in the Arabian Sea, the Gulf of Aden, or the Red Sea.
- No attribution is required.
- A qualifying incident will count regardless of the identity of the party responsible, regardless of whether any state or group claims responsibility, and regardless of whether responsibility is denied, disputed, or never established.