PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 30 oct 2026, 14:06 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
October 31 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Referencia guardada
October 31 8%Líder entre 8 opciones
October 31 8%Calidad del mercado
24 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
127,9 €
Liquidez
331,6 €
Baja liquidezInterés abierto
1,1 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
October 31Spread
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Comentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-1.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado10 sept 26, 19:04 UTC31 oct 26, 23:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
October 15Perdida
September 11Perdida
September 13Perdida
September 15Perdida
September 18Perdida
September 23Perdida
September 30Perdida
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · October 31
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)
PolymarketHouthis enter Aden by which date?
PolymarketHouthis target Pakistan by which date?
PolymarketHouthis seize an oil tanker by which date?
PolymarketFree flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM AST (UTC+03:00).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
- Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
- Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
- Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.