PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 95%-1.3pt
Calidad del mercado
77 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
4,4 mil €
Liquidez
14,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
4.5% / 5.0%
Spread
0.5 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
17 sept 26, 15:44 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if active military personnel officially affiliated with any NATO member state enter Yemen for combat-related military purposes directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict in Yemen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, they must be 1) officially acknowledged as active military by NATO or the member state they are affiliated with; 2) be publicly acknowledged by NATO or the member state to have entered Yemen for a combat-related military purpose directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with the Houthis.
- For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution they must be active duty troops and acknowledged as described above.
- Participation in a combat role is necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes" (e.g. military personnel providing training or intelligence support would not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, however infantry engaging Houthi forces, or personnel conducting combat operations against the Houthis from Yemeni soil would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution).
- Only members of the regular armed forces of a NATO member state will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+2.8pt97%
- September 25-0.5pt86%
- September 3078%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 947,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 688,2 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt60%
- October 31+1.0pt34%
- September 30-2.0pt9%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volumen total
- 58,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 289,1 mil €
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- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
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- December 31+2.0pt21%
- October 31+4.0pt14%
- September 30+0.3pt3%
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POLYMARKETWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- No Meeting by September 30-0.8pt87.9%
- USA+1.3pt11.1%
- Pakistan-0.5pt1%
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- US-Iran nuclear deal?
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- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 95% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027??
- Está previsto que NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if active military personnel officially affiliated with any NATO member state enter Yemen for combat-related military purposes directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict in Yemen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.