Dem sweep & US-Iran ceasefire through 2027?
16.3 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónGeopolíticaOriente Medio1a
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken · —
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Referencia guardada
Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken 70.7%Líder entre 4 opciones
Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken 70.7%Calidad del mercado
81 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
7,8 mil €
Liquidez
65,7 mil €
Alta liquidezInterés abierto
3,4 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
Dem sweep; Ceasefire brokenSpread
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Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
2 nov 26, 1:07 UTC1 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 0,1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of (1) whether the Democratic Party wins control of both the United States House of Representatives and the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election and (2) whether the United States refrains from a qualifying military action against Iran through the end of 2027.
- Options beginning "Dem sweep" require the Democratic Party to win control of both chambers.
- Options beginning "No Dem sweep" require the Democratic Party not to win control of at least one of the two chambers.
- Each option then names the result of the second component ("Ceasefire holds" or "Ceasefire broken"), as defined below.
- The option matching both results will resolve to "Yes", and all other options will resolve to "No".
- US-Iran ceasefire: This component is "Ceasefire broken" if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Iran between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time.
