PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
June 15 100%Líder entre 15 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
332,1 mil €
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaSpread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+94.7 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 81 días
Desactualizado1 may 26, 18:2231 may 26, 0:00
Tendencias
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region.
- A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region.
- Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify.
- Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted).