PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 sept 2026, 21:00 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
September 30 100%+11.9pt
Calidad del mercado
66 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
41,3 mil €
Liquidez
79,9 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
98.3% / 100.0%
Spread
1.7 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado31 ago 26, 18:3730 sept 26, 23:59
Tendencias
100%
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets an Arab country through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- Qualifying Arab countries are as follows: Algeria, Bahrain, Comoros, Djibouti, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Mauritania, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Somalia, Sudan, Syria, Tunisia, the United Arab Emirates, and Yemen.
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at a qualifying Arab country.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.